In this situation, importing a 6-week forecast would be the best method. In the future, we plan to allow multiple file loads through the HDI, which might help with these BPO situations, allowing users to quickly bring in new history as they like when they want and use ABM.
Original Message:
Sent: 11-03-2023 09:50
From: Jamie O'Brien
Subject: Forecast/Scheduling Questions
Hello Jay, Thank you for answering my questions. For #7, you mentioned that the ABM would be the best method to use for long-term forecast, and based on what I have been able to see thus far, I think I would agree with that. However, being a BOP we often have to supply potential clients with long range forecasts, using their information. As that would not be on our switch, ABM wouldn't be available to use. For those, would you recommend using the Import Short-Term Interval Forecast Data 6 weeks at a time?
Thank you again for your time in answering these questions, its been a HUGE help!
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Jamie O'Brien
DialAmerica Marketing, Inc.
Original Message:
Sent: 09-30-2023 09:41
From: Jay Langsford
Subject: Forecast/Scheduling Questions
I'll let @Daniel Chapdelaine on the PM side address most of your forecasting questions.
For #6, there are several import options for forecast: 1. resultant forecast (you create a final forecast using whatever data and methodologies and import the final one into Genesys Cloud); 2. import up to 6 weeks of source data for the weighted historical index method (WHI); 3. import up to 6 days per source day in WHI; 4. utilize historical data import (general use here is bootstrapping until you have enough native data).
For #7: Automatic Best Method Selection support forecasts up to 6 weeks (starting up to 26 weeks in the future) and a long-term interval up to 104 weeks.
General comment on manually choosing dates to include/exclude, seasonality (daily, monthly, yearly), smoothing, outlier detection, etc.: ABM method offers built-in capabilities and should be the default choice when wanting to create a forecast. https://help.mypurecloud.com/articles/automatic-best-method-forecast-method-overview/ . Some items like smoothing are really feel good measures that typically result in significantly worse forecast accuracy - note I am differentiating basic smoothing to say natural dampening affect of outliers that occurs naturally/natively with ABM.
For #4, I would recommend utilizing the min/max contiguous work time constraint. This governs the min/max time between activities marked as counting toward work time and those that are not.
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Jay Langsford
VP, R&D
Original Message:
Sent: 09-29-2023 10:29
From: Jamie O'Brien
Subject: Forecast/Scheduling Questions
We are in the process of implementing the Genesys Cloud and while working through it, I had a few questions that I was hoping someone that is currently using maybe be able to help me. (I should mention we are a BOP and we forecast/schedule for multiple clients, that are all slightly different)
- Forecasting: How to validate the data in the system (if there is a day that is abnormal how do we flag that it shouldn't be used as data in the forecast or would we be relying solely on AI?)
- Forecasting: How to choose the weeks of history to forecast from? (Example we have certain seasonality with some of our clients that we would want to use the patterns for the prior year, is there a way to select the dates we would want to use?)
- Forecasting: How to exclude data when forecasting? (Example holidays, is there a way to flag that it shouldn't be used in the pattern for forecast and/or how do we make sure the system is looking at previous holidays when forecasting for the next ones or is this going to be AI driven?)
- Scheduling: Breaks – It seems that you can set the breaks relevant to shift start, but is there a way to set them relevant to the previous break? (i.e., can you say that the agent must work 1.5 hr before their next break to ensure they won't get back-to-back breaks)
- Forecast/Scheduling: Smoothing Data – Is there a way to smooth interval data, or choose not to smooth interval data?
- Forecasting: Import short term interval forecast data, it says you can import for 6 weeks, is that 6 weeks total or 6 weeks per import?
- Forecasting: Long Range forecasting for clients, some clients request a year to year and a half forecast/requirement at a time, is there a way to do this as the most we have seen in the options is 26 weeks?
Thanks in advance for any help.
#Forecasting
#Scheduling
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Jamie O'Brien
DialAmerica Marketing, Inc.
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